Not too long ago, a close friend of mine approached me with their interpretation of a crucial term: credibility. Like the majority of individuals in the world, my friend believed that credibility was subjective and based on personal opinions. They argued that those, like myself, who strive to expose falsehoods and dispel myths, are simply sharing our own biased views on various issues. However, this belief could not be further from the truth – which is ultimately what we seek to uncover and present to the public.

Fact and fiction blur into a muddled mess as we cling to our personal beliefs, desperately hoping they hold some semblance of credibility. But for those who have dedicated their lives to understanding data, statistics, and the concept of credibility, it is not a matter of opinion. It is a calculated formula that dictates what is truth and what is merely illusion. And in this world of ignorance and blind faith, these individuals stand out as bright beacons of knowledge and unwavering certainty.

As much as many people want to believe that credibility is simply a matter of personal perspective, the truth was inescapable. It is an indisputable fact that could not be swayed by opinions or emotions. My life, and the lives of those like me, are dedicated to searching for undeniable evidence and understanding the concept of statistical credibility. Meanwhile, others argue that 2 plus 2 equals 5, unaware of their own ignorance. It is both frustrating and laughable at times, especially when this level of obliviousness seems to be the norm rather than the exception.

From stubborn flat earthers to delusional dinosaur deniers, the willfully ignorant refuse to acknowledge overwhelming evidence. Despite clear and undeniable proof, a shocking one in ten Americans still cling to their misguided belief that the Earth is flat, rejecting reason and logic. And even more terrifying, surveys of thousands reveal that a quarter of the younger generations (Gen X, Gen Z, and Millennials) are unsure if the Earth is indeed a spherical globe or a flat plane. That’s a staggering one in four individuals who reject basic scientific facts and embrace dangerous ignorance. It’s truly frightening to think about the future of our society if this trend continues unchecked.

The results of countless surveys have shown disturbingly high levels of ignorance in our population, and yet it seems to only be getting worse. As information becomes more widely available and science progresses at an alarming rate, our youth seem to become even more ignorant. This is a terrifying prospect, reminiscent of the dystopian film Idiocracy.

As an example, despite being one of the most horrific events in human history, 20% (1 out of every 5) of young Americans aged 18 to 29 believe that the Holocaust never happened. The fact that such a dangerous and blatantly false belief is held by so many young people not only spells disaster for future decision making, but also causes immeasurable pain for the millions of families who were directly impacted by this tragedy.

Amongst the swarm of “soulless assholes” who deny the undeniable truth of the Holocaust, there are countless other examples of ignorant morons in today’s society. The vile and despicable media personalities, spewing idiotic conspiracy rhetoric even in the wake of a tragic school shooting, despite overwhelming evidence from grieving parents, law enforcement, media, and eyewitnesses who saw with their own eyes the lifeless bodies of innocent children and attended their funerals. Such unfortunately “followed” personalities are simply soulless assholes, in a long line of them.

As a practitioner in my field, credibility understanding is vital. It requires gathering and analyzing vast amounts of data and creating comprehensive charts to visualize patterns and trends. To forecast future events, I rely on the use of control charts – a powerful tool that helps me understand the expected variations within each event. With these insights, I can then apply specialized formulas tailored to the specific type of data at hand. These calculations provide a range of expected variation and predict future data points with greater accuracy. By tracking changes over time, I can also determine if there has been a substantial shift or impact on the overall data set.

For a deeper understanding of credibility and correlations, consider reading my articles on horse racing and its various strategies. To further grasp the concept of predictive formulas, it may be helpful to also read previous posts on the topic. Exploring these resources can enhance your knowledge and improve your decisions.

Practical Examples of Predictive Skills through Statistics

In light of my previous frustration with the lack of credibility in certain reports, I must emphasize that eyewitness accounts, especially when backed by countless others and solid scientific evidence, hold significant weight and provide valuable data points. Unlike uninformed opinions, these reports hold substance and can be relied upon for accurate information. Just as three consecutive coin flips cannot determine a 100% probability of heads appearing on the fourth flip, a mere 3,000 flips will not necessarily prove the likelihood of either heads or tails appearing next. It takes a well-informed and thorough examination to truly uncover the truth.

I used to live by the rule of never trusting anyone’s opinion blindly. But now, I find myself surrounded by people who claim to have analyzed and examined data, yet their opinions still clash with mine. Am I missing something? Can I truly trust my own judgment when it comes to determining truth?

These thoughts will always weigh heavily on my mind as I struggle to make sense of conflicting viewpoints but my ability to research until I have “source data”, and the ability to determine credible probabilities will always be at my core. So I can tell you I am 100% sure the Holocaust was not a myth, dinosaurs once walked the Earth, the Earth is round, school shootings have unfortunately occurred, and there will always be mentally deficient souless asshole conspiracy theorists in this world to be ignored.