(You will find recent posts below or use the category index above)

About the Author
A grizzled veteran of seventy-three Midwestern winters, father to four daughters now settled with husbands ranging from actually helpful to how does he dress himself? Patriarch to nine grandchildren who treat his home like a free Chuck E. Cheese, and bewildered witness to three great-grandchildren who materialized faster than retirement savings disappear.

A Former COO in Fortune 50 companies who ran operations and fixed corporate problems by utilizing factual data and statistical analysis. After watching generation after generation navigate life with the emotional equivalent of a blindfolded drunk driving a golf cart, he learned that anecdotes, emotions and opinions are about as reliable as gas station sushi when making important decisions. However, feelings can be quantified, facts can be found, and data is everywhere. Only cold, immutable and properly analyzed information deserves trust, and defines truth. That is what this website offers. I hope you enjoy it and find it both surprising and helpful.

Author: astarthoraolcom

  • Fridays and Family: A Reflection on Life’s Simple Joys

    Fridays and Family: A Reflection on Life’s Simple Joys

    Today was a particularly melancholy day in Kentucky. The gunmetal skies hung low and heavy, with winds that howled and rattled the windows, gusting to 40 miles an hour. After yesterday’s cautiously optimistic news suggesting my wife’s recent cancer treatment was finally showing results—her bloodwork numbers improving for the first time in months—we both just…

  • The Truth Behind Current Economic Claims

    The Truth Behind Current Economic Claims

    Well, last evening we were treated to a one hour and 47 minute speech, the President’s face glowing orange-pink under the harsh lights, his voice rising and falling across that cavernous chamber. His words bounced between moments of startling clarity and fabrication—which as any weathered independent like myself can tell you, is the political tradition…

  • Understanding the Canine Crisis: Adopt, Don’t Shop

    Understanding the Canine Crisis: Adopt, Don’t Shop

    I have been a dog owner all my life, and there are few things I have treasured more than my canine companions. After my coal-black lab Prince—with his velvet ears and graying muzzle—passed away last year, I am now a 73-year-old man with just one little companion: a little bug-eyed chihuahua named Poppy who weighs…

  • The Truth About the Market

    The Truth About the Market

    Just last month, I posted the truth with data links to crime and inflation statistics which currently indicate meaningful declines in both. Within hours, my inbox overflowed with triumphant messages from my red-hat-wearing readers, their comments practically glowing with self-satisfaction as they explained how their party’s iron grip on the House, Senate, and that big…

  • A Perspective (DUI vs. Immigrants)

    A Perspective (DUI vs. Immigrants)

    I’ve wrestled with this long article for weeks, and I hope my family actually takes the time to read this one. (HaHa) My commitment to truth—that seventy year old stubborn beacon that guides me—finally drove me to an unsettling conclusion. What follows is the complete account of my research and discoveries, regardless of whose toes…

  • Some Aces You Can Hold.

    Some Aces You Can Hold.

    As the title suggests, here are some cold hard truths you can deposit directly into your mental bank account. Why? Because numerical data stands before us like a mountain of irrefutable evidence, that even the most stubborn skeptics should recognize. My Truth comments of course range from silly myths to very important subjects that seem…

  • So, You Want the Truth, But Can You Handle It?

    So, You Want the Truth, But Can You Handle It?

    I started thinking about creating articles that would cut through the fog of today’s headlines like a lighthouse beam—illuminating the jagged rocks of misinformation that shipwreck public discourse. As my fingers hovered over the keyboard, poised to unleash a torrent of personal grievances, I caught myself violating my cardinal rule: facts and data over opinions…

  • The Pain of Ignoring Variation

    The Pain of Ignoring Variation

    I spent much of my life talking about variation and trying to help people understand why it was important. After all, if you don’t understand it how will you help your children or future generations understand it. So today I offer some simple teaching advice that ranges from something as inconsequential as football to something…

  • The Art of Living Beyond Outrage

    The Art of Living Beyond Outrage

    In my old age, I often wonder what is worse: the pearl-clutching Karens (all genders) who transform a lukewarm latte into a five-alarm human rights violation, or the doom-prophesying Chicken Littles who interpret every passing cloud as the harbinger of collapse. Both species strut through life with the self-importance of peacocks, their faces flushed with…

  • Understanding Betting Margins: Key to NFL Success

    Understanding Betting Margins: Key to NFL Success

    Let me answer a couple of your questions. Every week I feed every NFL matchup into my predictive algorithm, even though I don’t always turn those forecasts into wagers. The reason is simple: if the gap between my projected margin and the sportsbook’s line isn’t wide enough, there’s no value in placing a bet. For…